0:04 And welcome back to a very special episode of the Kefer Boys where we specifically thank you our patrons. What up patron? >> Thank you guys so much. You guys are keeping us alive. All right guys, this this is like kind of ████ There's there's kind of like this death bets scandal thing going on. What's a death bet? It's kind of ████ up. So basically people are gambling on US soldiers getting killed. Soldiers? Was it on Cal-shi? It's on uh Polymarket. Soldiers getting killed? >> Like how many is the kill count going to be in Iran? First started because one Polymarket account called uh MagaMyMan made over $553,000 betting on the death of Iran's supreme leader right before it happened. A total of $529 million flowed through Iran-related contracts on Polymarket. >> $529 million? Yeah, Cal- Cal- Congress just
0:55 introduced the Death Bets Act to ban prediction market contracts tied to war, assassination, and individual deaths. Have you guys played on Polymarket? >> Bro, what the hell? So uh Polymarket's Polymarket's just like Cal-shi uh in that it's just a prediction market, but Polymarket specifically comes from like the crypto scene like Polygon and stuff like that, whereas Cal-shi is like cash-based stuff. So people who are doing Cal-shi are like your normies that don't do crypto or anything, but it's kind of the same stuff and you bet on the futures market of anything. You can bet something like the weather. Uh like if it's going to rain. You could bet on who's going to win the you know the next election. You could bet on anything that's that people are willing to put money in. You I can make a bet right now is Bart going to get a nosebleed, but if nobody gives a ████ if Bart's going to get a nosebleed then there might be no money in the pot. So
1:45 if there's no money in the pot then I got nothing, right? But if somebody for whatever reason goes viral for anything and they're just like, "Hey, let's bet on um obviously the sports betting will make it over there. Let's bet on Ronda Rousey and Gina. You know, like let's bet on uh >> I've seen one where they go, is Rogan going to say, "That was nasty." in a fight? And people have won like thousands of dollars on that. >> it's like you could So, it All it takes is somebody putting up the prediction, people [clears throat] will buy into it. >> Yeah. Mhm. Yes or no. Oh, wow. >> Everyone bet it against the leader being assassinated. Cuz he made a ████ ton of money. >> Yeah, 500k, dude. Well, yeah, because he The leader got assassinated is so freaking fat. They took everybody out so quick. So, that probably would have paid out nice. >> Within a day, they started bombing, right?
2:35 You you want to You want to know the ████ dark ████ up part? So, like, you know, we we all day it's very common. We talk about things like Pelosi, Congress trading and stuff. Senator uh one of the senators, Merkley, says, "I'm confident members of Congress are making these bets using inside government knowledge to profit on military strikes." >> Wow. So, we need insider information. No one has to disclose prediction market trades, not yet. Woah, dude. So, yeah, if they have the power to go, "We're going to send troops there tomorrow." they just go, "Uh I bet we're going to send troops there tomorrow." But, if it's crypto, it's open source, right? Can you tell like there's a mad bet going or like you see on Polymarket who's betting what or how much is in the pot? >> Inside information is inside information. >> So, if you see it immediately, then you go, "Ooh, that's a very specific bet."
3:26 But, at the same time, like, you know, I don't think that's going to happen and everyone bets the other way, right? For like the US bank though, like if that might get hit, mhm, bet on that. Is that on there? It's my face. [laughter] You look like Julia. That's my Julia face. >> [laughter] >> Is there a way to check for that? Do you want me to check right now? Do you want me to be on on my server right now looking up, "Hey, >> [laughter] >> is this going to happen? want to bet on it. Damn. You are the 9/11 guy. >> [laughter] [snorts] >> I should have betted on that. Bro, there you can bet on the weirdest ████ ████ on here. How much would you You should you would probably you should bet on some weird ████ 5,000? Woah. I think it depends on the odds though, right? Like if you bet you put up 5,000 to win 5,400, like would you do that? No. You got to bet you got to bet
4:16 on something unique. I think you'll have way more fun. >> Okay. Is Bart Is Bart going to get a bloody nose? And then Bart, you have to get a bloody nose cuz we're going to do insider trading. >> [laughter] >> Yeah. The market for that's huge, Bart's bloody nose. You know what sucks though? It'll probably just be JK fans, so we'll just be making money off of JK fans, which I don't want to do. Well, yeah, we lose money to them. Cuz Bart can't get it going. It won't happen. It won't happen. It won't happen. Dude, I just can't believe that if they're saying there might be members of Congress making these bets, the move is to make that you can't bet with deaths and wars, not Congress can't make bets. Right? >> [laughter] >> Like come on, man. See that there's a ████ up ethical element to it regardless of the Congress involvement. Yeah, but like that should be the main
5:06 thing because that it doesn't Congress can make bets on anything then. Cuz that's just deaths and war. They can make bets on things all across the world. That's crazy. >> Dude, if we ban them from doing that, who's going to ever want to be in Congress? Yeah, right. I want them to be rich. I want [laughter] them to do well. I want them to be rich and corrupt. Yeah, man. What stopping another platform to open up and do it if once they control this one? They there are other platforms. So, I think Kalshi is their main competitor, right? Yeah. >> [snorts] >> But that's the thing, like yes, because it's a pre- prediction market that's like very very suc- >> But people double dip though. Yeah, people do. I mean, when you're already that degenerate to go on that kind of marketing and betting and stuff like that, it's like it's it you might as well play in both. Yeah. I'mma get on it. I'mma do it. But I'm scared cuz I do want to go on it, but I don't want to go on it. >> Cuz everybody like all the dudes I know that casually sport bet, they're on like
5:58 five different apps. >> Oh, ████ >> So it's like Yeah, dude. And like they'll place bets all the time and it's so like commonplace. And now now it's they've made it so hand-in-hand with watching sports. Like people don't just watch sports anymore. Yeah. They're they're actively just watching and betting. It's too ████ fun. It's too fun. But now it's just like There's a there's betting companies popping up everywhere. That's what I was saying. They're the only ones that have money for sponsors, too. It's cuz they're they're the ones killing it. Cuz it's all money in and out. Dude, I just put another bet down on ████ Lewis Hamilton to win the entire F1 driver's championship just because Yeah, like 20 bucks because I'll win like 300 or something like that. Good. Because it's the beginning of the season, but it's also one of those like you just want a good story and you want to hope for something that gives you like fulfillment the entire time. >> You're a fan of him though, aren't you?
6:48 No. Oh. No, I wasn't I'm not a really huge fan of any one particular >> I thought you liked F1 like a lot. >> F1. Oh, okay. Right now if if there was actually one person I actually want to win like from a fan perspective, it's actually Kimi Antonelli. He's like a rookie young dude who just came in and took his seat, took Lewis Hamilton's seat on Mercedes. He's a young dude who's just ████ funny to me. And he's just killing it. What bet would you make if uh let's say that Polymarket was like, "Hey Anthony Lee, you can make any bet you want but it and and we'll fund it, but it has to be about the war." It has to be about the war? Yeah. It's got to be one of their war bets. Which one would you do it would would you uh war bets.com. That's kind of cool. Cuz I know there was one that was about ground troops. I saw that one going viral. >> Just bet on like when it would when they would do a ceasefire cuz that's kind of nice. Or like a when they reach treaty.
7:40 No, I'd bet on like can it be indirectly about the war? Directly has to be directly. I can't bet on like this particular sector of like is going to What do you want to What do you want to blow? You can you can tell us which area of Israel will blow up. Damn, that's crazy. It's got to be assassination, deaths, all that stuff like >> The new the new appointed supreme leader that the the son of the guy who was Yeah, yeah, the new one? I think he's going to Really? Check the odds on that. In how much time? How long? How long? How long do you think? I honestly I'd give him 1 week. 1 week? Bro, don't you You know what's crazy? You might be ████ millionaire after this. Except I'm not making the bet. >> [laughter] >> You're not going to make the bet. It's a good bet. >> Nah, dude, I'm not doing that, man. But he just He just made it up though. He
8:31 has no evidence like a congress guy. You can allow yourself to just say these crazy ass bets you're going to ████ obviously win and not make the bet? That's why I'm saying it on Patreon so our patrons can win. >> [laughter] >> Insider information. >> to resist that? It That just feels so weird. Betting on death. Yeah, betting on death. Yeah, it's crazy. Right? And somebody's like your wife is like, "Oh, how'd you make that?" Or the guy stays alive and you're like, "F███!" >> [laughter] >> WHAT THE ████ THIS IS ████ YEAH, THIS IS THIS IS ████ ████ MAN. YOU can't get him? THE AYATOLLAH IS STILL ALIVE. >> [laughter] >> WHAT THE ████ THAT'S ████ CRAZY. >> WHAT if you bet $5,000 on his death, but to guarantee it you spend a million to ████ get him assassinated? So then
9:21 you end up blowing a million dollars to win a thousand dollar bet. That's funny. It's like being It's like being the streaker you bet on. >> [laughter] >> I mean, that's what Congress does except the million comes from somewhere else. >> [laughter] >> What? From tax dollars. Assume that the USA ain't getting into this war until we get what something out of it. And he and even if we're getting our asses whooped, we're going to stay until we get something out of it. And I feel like I feel like if there's money to be made, it's like during these times. Anything goes during these times. We should have shorted oil when we had the chance. We could have been like Baron Trump, just rolling in it. >> up on my on my nuclear freaking uranium. Shut up. But only bought put like ████ 400 bucks in it, so it's like should have done more. A win's a win, bro. for free. Like that's what I want
10:12 to know. Some of these guys, they get so much money for free. And I want to learn how that method works. Well, everything costs money. You got to put money to put up for it, but there's other ways to do it like stealing. >> [snorts] >> Okay, yeah, we could do that. You're just asking how to make money without spending anything? He's asking how to steal money. Like how do you pretend like you have a daycare and then like >> Oh, well, they still needed to spend some money. See how they sign the lease and stuff? They still got to put up a little bit of money. Yeah. But how do we avoid that? >> [laughter] >> But like it's the government that's paying for it, so they're paying for the lease. You're not paying for it. So, how do you do that? >> Oh, the government pays the lease? The government gives you the budget. You go you you write a proposal and you say, "Government, I got this proposal. I'm going to do this thing thing and I'm going to help society."
11:02 And then they go, "Okay, here's the money." Mhm. You know the Lord of War? >> You just asked how to do it, idiot. Didn't you just describe that? >> I'm just >> [laughter] >> I'm trying to act like I don't know what I'm doing. Don't blow my cover, dude. >> [laughter] >> You're like, "I wish I knew." You know Lord of War? Yeah. The guys from that actual movie teaches you a course on how to get government contracts for arms dealers and all this stuff. Damn. And then I actually looked up on the sites of it's it's all open. Like they by law they have to put certain contracts up for bids. So the public have an opportunity. Yeah. And then that's how they got their like arms contract and stuff. So I was looking at it and there's state ones and then there's federal ones. And then there's dude there's state ones that's
11:52 like social media manager and you ████ run an Instagram account for like the Department of water or some ████ And I'm like what the ████ and they'll pay good dude. They're like $8,000 a month or like whatever. We got to get some government contracts. You think JK could do a government contract? There's like dude We could be part of yeah SIOP. We could we could definitely There's there's like media We just buy some cocaine and sell crack. Flip the money. Fund a war dude. Too dangerous. Too dangerous. Too dangerous. All the turf is spoken for. But we have like social media. We can do online like drop shipping now. Too dangerous. Too dangerous. All right. [snorts] Let's um Let's do some type of fraud. Let's do piranha fraud. Like sell goldfish like they're piranha? Mhm. Paint them.
12:43 And [snorts] we'll we'll sell them way over market value. >> [laughter] >> The dentures are going to cost us 10 grand. >> [laughter] >> We make like 2 cents more. HEY YOU DIDN'T SAY HOW MUCH you want to make. Lord got the margins. Don't worry about it. I think putting dentures in goldfish and upselling them sounds sick. >> [laughter and gasps] >> Like that sounds sick. Imagine being notoriously caught for that. There's like a Netflix documentary about us. The piranhas they don't do anything? >> [laughter] >> Oh there's a little tiger. They're full right now. They're just Raise ████ series A funds to get Gary V to promote this business. [laughter]
// end of tape